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	<title>Comments on: US Interest Rates VS Currencies</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.neuralmarkettrends.com/2007/08/29/us-interest-rates-vs-currencies/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.neuralmarkettrends.com/2007/08/29/us-interest-rates-vs-currencies/</link>
	<description>Using Rapidminer to model trends in the financial markets</description>
	<pubDate>Mon, 06 Oct 2008 21:03:30 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Soren</title>
		<link>http://www.neuralmarkettrends.com/2007/08/29/us-interest-rates-vs-currencies/#comment-311</link>
		<dc:creator>Soren</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Aug 2007 22:51:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.neuralmarkettrends.com/2007/08/29/us-interest-rates-vs-currencies/#comment-311</guid>
		<description>Tom,

Glad you see you got my email, I suppose I should have just left it as a comment here on this thread. Try http://www.econstats.com/index.htm for global interest rate data.

Cheers!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Tom,</p>
<p>Glad you see you got my email, I suppose I should have just left it as a comment here on this thread. Try <a href="http://www.econstats.com/index.htm" rel="nofollow">http://www.econstats.com/index.htm</a> for global interest rate data.</p>
<p>Cheers!</p>
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		<title>By: Tom</title>
		<link>http://www.neuralmarkettrends.com/2007/08/29/us-interest-rates-vs-currencies/#comment-309</link>
		<dc:creator>Tom</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Aug 2007 09:38:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.neuralmarkettrends.com/2007/08/29/us-interest-rates-vs-currencies/#comment-309</guid>
		<description>Sherry,
Thanks for that link, the author makes a great point and I've linked it in my delicious links.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sherry,<br />
Thanks for that link, the author makes a great point and I&#8217;ve linked it in my delicious links.</p>
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		<title>By: Sherry</title>
		<link>http://www.neuralmarkettrends.com/2007/08/29/us-interest-rates-vs-currencies/#comment-308</link>
		<dc:creator>Sherry</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Aug 2007 23:29:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.neuralmarkettrends.com/2007/08/29/us-interest-rates-vs-currencies/#comment-308</guid>
		<description>I like this scathing critique of the Fed's nanny-ing moves,

---------
...the Goldman fund pumped in $6 of cheap borrowed money for every dollar raised from the members for a very small percentage fee on profits. Also, as they say on Wall Street, the leverage was a very sweet 6 to 1.

And what does that mean. Let me explain it like this, a hypothetical if not typical situation. 

If you buy a stock for $36 and sell it for $72 four months later, you've made 100% on your money. If you add $30 of borrowed money to $6 of your own to buy the stock at $36 and sell the shares at $72, your profit is $36, but you've made 600% on your $6 of which the hedge fund takes a percentage, roughly 2 percent or 72 cents, so your profit is now $35.24 on the $6 which is 587% and you can live with that.

Multiply that transaction times billions and you are talking not billions but a trillion or more in profits and which is why offshore tax havens like the Cayman Islands and the Bahamas are booming.

But the worm turned as we have been reading.

So now, let's say you put up $6 and borrow an additional $30 to buy a stock at $36. The stock falls to $18. You have lost $18 on the stock but still have have a stock worth $12 after subtracting your $6. But all of a sudden, becase of the panic that came with this crisis, you have to pay back $30 and quickly for that $2 stock. Your loss is now 300%.

Multiply that little transaction times billions and you understand why Wall Street is close to a nervous breakdown..

Here is what Uncle Ben and the Nanny State have done for Wall Street.

The Fed's loans are being handed out through what it calls its "overnight discount window." These loans have traditionally been overnight loans given to banks to smooth the flow of commerce on weekends and holidays. But the loans the Fed approved a few days ago turn out to be 30-day loans.

There's more. If, at the end of that 30-day period a bank claims it can't pay the money back, the Fed says the banks can renew them for another 30-days. And then another and another renewal can be had and at no additional charge or late fee. How would you like to have a credit card that worked like that?

http://www.counterpunch.org/corr08242007.html
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I like this scathing critique of the Fed&#8217;s nanny-ing moves,</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br />
&#8230;the Goldman fund pumped in $6 of cheap borrowed money for every dollar raised from the members for a very small percentage fee on profits. Also, as they say on Wall Street, the leverage was a very sweet 6 to 1.</p>
<p>And what does that mean. Let me explain it like this, a hypothetical if not typical situation. </p>
<p>If you buy a stock for $36 and sell it for $72 four months later, you&#8217;ve made 100% on your money. If you add $30 of borrowed money to $6 of your own to buy the stock at $36 and sell the shares at $72, your profit is $36, but you&#8217;ve made 600% on your $6 of which the hedge fund takes a percentage, roughly 2 percent or 72 cents, so your profit is now $35.24 on the $6 which is 587% and you can live with that.</p>
<p>Multiply that transaction times billions and you are talking not billions but a trillion or more in profits and which is why offshore tax havens like the Cayman Islands and the Bahamas are booming.</p>
<p>But the worm turned as we have been reading.</p>
<p>So now, let&#8217;s say you put up $6 and borrow an additional $30 to buy a stock at $36. The stock falls to $18. You have lost $18 on the stock but still have have a stock worth $12 after subtracting your $6. But all of a sudden, becase of the panic that came with this crisis, you have to pay back $30 and quickly for that $2 stock. Your loss is now 300%.</p>
<p>Multiply that little transaction times billions and you understand why Wall Street is close to a nervous breakdown..</p>
<p>Here is what Uncle Ben and the Nanny State have done for Wall Street.</p>
<p>The Fed&#8217;s loans are being handed out through what it calls its &#8220;overnight discount window.&#8221; These loans have traditionally been overnight loans given to banks to smooth the flow of commerce on weekends and holidays. But the loans the Fed approved a few days ago turn out to be 30-day loans.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s more. If, at the end of that 30-day period a bank claims it can&#8217;t pay the money back, the Fed says the banks can renew them for another 30-days. And then another and another renewal can be had and at no additional charge or late fee. How would you like to have a credit card that worked like that?</p>
<p><a href="http://www.counterpunch.org/corr08242007.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.counterpunch.org/corr08242007.html</a><br />
&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;</p>
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		<title>By: Tom</title>
		<link>http://www.neuralmarkettrends.com/2007/08/29/us-interest-rates-vs-currencies/#comment-305</link>
		<dc:creator>Tom</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Aug 2007 17:51:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.neuralmarkettrends.com/2007/08/29/us-interest-rates-vs-currencies/#comment-305</guid>
		<description>A rise in the FF index higher toward 100 means that the Fed is cutting interest rates.  If the current FF is 5.25%, then current FF index should be a 94.75 (lower).

Soren, a reader left me an email and suggested that I look at the interest rate differentials between the currencies.  I wonder where I can get that data.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A rise in the FF index higher toward 100 means that the Fed is cutting interest rates.  If the current FF is 5.25%, then current FF index should be a 94.75 (lower).</p>
<p>Soren, a reader left me an email and suggested that I look at the interest rate differentials between the currencies.  I wonder where I can get that data.</p>
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		<title>By: Christian Gross</title>
		<link>http://www.neuralmarkettrends.com/2007/08/29/us-interest-rates-vs-currencies/#comment-304</link>
		<dc:creator>Christian Gross</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Aug 2007 17:47:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.neuralmarkettrends.com/2007/08/29/us-interest-rates-vs-currencies/#comment-304</guid>
		<description>I can't argue...
Am I reading this right...

If the Fed Fund Rate goes up the currency lags up, but necessarily downwards?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I can&#8217;t argue&#8230;<br />
Am I reading this right&#8230;</p>
<p>If the Fed Fund Rate goes up the currency lags up, but necessarily downwards?</p>
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