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Monthly Archives: October 2007
S&P500 Volatility Timing Report
Well nothing too exciting happened last week, my volatility market indicator remained elevated though but overall the volatility clusters seem to be on a downtrend. Now that October is almost over we can “assume” that a Santa Rally will begin. … Continue reading
Posted in Members, Real Estate, Trends
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Preliminary October Forex Results
I know that October isn't finished yet but unless something crazy happens over the next two days, I'm pretty much done for this month. I traded early in the month and took some hits but I finished strong and continued … Continue reading
Posted in Random
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Power Laws & Investing Long Term
I decided to download about 40 years of data on the S&P500 and analyze how many times the index made an explosive leap higher. The reason I did this was because of something I read in The (Mis)Behavior of Markets … Continue reading
Posted in 401K, Random
5 Comments
Forex & Futures Forecast
Good Morning! Here are this week's Forex and Futures forecasts. The forecast indicates that the closing price for Friday will either be UP or DOWN from today's opening. AUD – UP GBP – UP EUR – UP JPY – UP … Continue reading
Posted in Forex, Futures
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US Dollar Crosses
Any US Dollar cross in the Forex markets has been on fire lately. Just look at the EURUSD pair, we’re seeing $1.44 and my guess is that $1.45 isn’t too far behind. AUDUSD is trading at $0.91 with its eyes … Continue reading
Posted in Forex
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Alan Greenspan Is A Scumbag
I admit, I first liked the guy at first but as time goes on and the more I learn about the Gold Standard, the more I feel the “Maestro” is truly a scumbag. From his own words in a 1967 … Continue reading
Posted in Economy
3 Comments
S&P500 Intraweek Volatility Check
I haven't forgotten about my member section, I'm just insanely busy. I picked up a few side gigs that are demanding my attention right now. I'll still post my forex and future weekly forecasts as well as my S&P500 volatility … Continue reading
Posted in Neural Nets, Stocks, Trends
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Nasdaq Selloff & Power Laws
I decided to take the chart of actual observed values of Nasdaq ROC over the past 10 years and apply a power law curve to it. I remember reading somewhere that Mandlebrot estimated a power law shape factor of 2.7 … Continue reading
Posted in Neural Nets
1 Comment
Nasdaq Market Crash?
The markets have been very volatile lately, can you guess why? It starts with the letter “s” and ends with “prime.” In the midst of this selloff and rumors of a market crash, I decided to see just how volatile … Continue reading
Posted in Neural Nets, Stocks
2 Comments
Is A Top In?
You know, I don’t know but it sure looks that way. My volatility indicator went wild on Friday and the S&P500 made a huge bearish engulfing candle that ate up the last three week’s gains! I’m still net long but … Continue reading
Posted in Random
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Breakout Scan
It shouldn’t come as a surprise but my scanner didn’t reveal any breakout’s from Friday!  Who knows, maybe today?
Posted in Members, Stocks
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S&P500 Volatility Report
Friday was a BUY but I didn’t do anything. Nope, I’m not biting till we drop (if) to the low 1400′s. Somehow I doubt that this will happen and Monday is likely to open higher. The returns based on my … Continue reading
Posted in Members
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