Monthly Archives: September 2008

Volatility Spike!

Posted on September 30, 2008 by Tom

Here’s yesterday’s volatility spike.  This could very well be the bottom, I hope!  My S&P500 market timing model made a 4 STDEV move yesterday and issued the strongest BUY signal yet. I’m very cautious these days because I’ve been averaging … Continue reading →

Posted in 401K, Trends | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments

Exciting Times

Posted on September 30, 2008 by Tom

We are living in exciting times alright!  I’m happy that the bailout plan was voted down but my guess is they’ll try to get it passed again.  I’m not happy that 1.2 trillion dollars of market cap vanished yesterday but … Continue reading →

Posted in Excel, Stocks | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments

Modeling Gold Trends

Posted on September 23, 2008 by Tom

I’ve been busy rebuilding my Gold neural net model over the past few days with new data and inputs using the new version of Rapidminer.  It’s the same model I used to write my published Futures Magazine article and tinkering with … Continue reading →

Posted in Forex, Futures, Gold, Neural Nets | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Genetic Modeling The Stock Market

Posted on September 19, 2008 by Tom

The one nice thing about Genetic Algorithmic stock market models is that they evolve with new market data. The bad thing about them is that they’re a pain in the ass to create.  My current GA model is surprisingly simple … Continue reading →

Posted in Economy, Genetic Algorithms, Neural Nets, Trends | Tagged , , | 5 Comments

Alright, I’m back

Posted on September 19, 2008 by Tom

Alright I’m back from my hiatus.  I’ve been very busy and you’ll be seeing some changes to NMT over time as I implement my entrepreneurial ideas.  I expect to be pretty busy so posting will be intermittent. What a crazy … Continue reading →

Posted in Economy, Random, Video | Tagged , | 5 Comments

Biggest Buy Signal Yet!

Posted on September 15, 2008 by Tom

Wow, just plain wow!  With the failure of LEH we might have seen the bottom of the market, or maybe not.  My market timing model blew through the roof, a two standard deviation move which is a massive fear event.  … Continue reading →

Posted in Random | 2 Comments

State Of The Market

Posted on September 12, 2008 by Tom

It figures that the Gold and Oil markets start to collapse just as I go on hiatus. My guess is that hedge funds are selling their winners to cover their losers (financials, banks, etc). This has had a nasty consequence … Continue reading →

Posted in Economy, Forex, Futures, Gold, Stocks, Trends | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments