Category Archives: Economy

Now Its Earnings

Posted on October 22, 2008 by Tom

First it was the credit crisis, now its earnings.  When will it stop? Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 tumbled 5.9% to 8,796.10 points in early afternoon trading, as investors nervously anticipated a season of modest to dismal earnings reports and outlooks. Earlier, … Continue reading →

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Another Sell Signal?

Posted on October 20, 2008 by Tom

This just in.  My timing model issued another SELL signal.  I think we’re setting the stage for another leg down.  I sure hope not but I follow my model religously.  My ultimate target is 700 on the S&P500 but we’ll … Continue reading →

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Bailout Fading?

Posted on October 15, 2008 by Tom

Trading Forex is a lot like watching Nature.  Its all about the survival of the fittest.  Often when banks intervene in a currency to halt its slide or stop its appreciation, the result is an outlier in the overall trend.  … Continue reading →

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Goodbye Las Street

Posted on October 14, 2008 by Tom

Or did I mean Wall Vegas?  Now that its after the fact, everyone wants to take the Las Vegas out of Wall Street and return to a kinder and more advisory role for clients. But to do so, you’ll have … Continue reading →

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The Road To Serfdom Continues

Posted on October 13, 2008 by Tom

We took a big step toward nationalization this weekend as the Federal Reserve and Great Britain decided to inject taxpayer money into the banking system to stabilize things, emphasis mine. Before markets opened in Europe, a statement from the Federal … Continue reading →

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Only 209 More Points To Go

Posted on October 10, 2008 by Tom

I hope.

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The Right Choice

Posted on October 9, 2008 by Tom

While Nouriel Roubini comes across as a bit of a kook sometimes, he does make a valid point about investing in infrastructure rather than buying troubled assets as a way to help us get out of our current financial mess. … Continue reading →

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The Race To The Bottom Begins – II

Posted on October 8, 2008 by Tom

After watching yesterday’s market plunge, followed by the 9.4% selloff in Tokyo last night, I’m thoroughly convinced that the race for the bottom is in on. In Japan, the benchmark index dropped the most in 21 years as investors were … Continue reading →

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Crude Oil At A 10 Month Low

Posted on October 8, 2008 by Tom

The only bright spot I can see for our economy is lower oil.  It’s sure to help with heating costs this year as people struggle to heat their McMansions or fill the tank on their Hummers. “Sentiment is extremely pessimistic, … Continue reading →

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The Race To The Bottom Begins

Posted on October 6, 2008 by Tom

My friends, these are the times that try men’s souls.  I believe we are starting “the race” to the bottom (or not). “We’re seeing panic all over the markets right now,” said Javier Barrio, head of equity sales for Spanish … Continue reading →

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Yen Rallies – Multi Year Trend Reversal

Posted on October 6, 2008 by Tom

I remember Warren Buffet getting long Yen about a year or two ago.  Was he lucky or just shrewd? After seven years of providing the cheapest source of funds for investors buying higher-yielding New Zealand dollars, Australian dollars and Brazil … Continue reading →

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Genetic Modeling The Stock Market

Posted on September 19, 2008 by Tom

The one nice thing about Genetic Algorithmic stock market models is that they evolve with new market data. The bad thing about them is that they’re a pain in the ass to create.  My current GA model is surprisingly simple … Continue reading →

Posted in Economy, Genetic Algorithms, Neural Nets, Trends | Tagged , , | 5 Comments