Neural Market Trends

Using Rapidminer to model trends in the financial markets

Entries for the ‘Economy’ Category

Only 209 More Points To Go

I hope.

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The Right Choice

While Nouriel Roubini comes across as a bit of a kook sometimes, he does make a valid point about investing in infrastructure rather than buying troubled assets as a way to help us get out of our current financial mess.
If the private sector does not spend and/or cannot spend, old-fashioned traditional Keynesian spending by the [...]

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The Race To The Bottom Begins - II

After watching yesterday’s market plunge, followed by the 9.4% selloff in Tokyo last night, I’m thoroughly convinced that the race for the bottom is in on.
In Japan, the benchmark index dropped the most in 21 years as investors were chilled by a report in the Nikkei business daily based on unnamed sources that asserted [...]

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Crude Oil At A 10 Month Low

The only bright spot I can see for our economy is lower oil.  It’s sure to help with heating costs this year as people struggle to heat their McMansions or fill the tank on their Hummers.
“Sentiment is extremely pessimistic, people believe we’ll see a global recession despite the measures being taken by governments,” said Jochen [...]

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The Race To The Bottom Begins

My friends, these are the times that try men’s souls.  I believe we are starting “the race” to the bottom (or not).
“We’re seeing panic all over the markets right now,” said Javier Barrio, head of equity sales for Spanish clients at Banco BPI SA in Madrid. “Governments are taking steps to try to reduce investors’ [...]

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Yen Rallies - Multi Year Trend Reversal

I remember Warren Buffet getting long Yen about a year or two ago.  Was he lucky or just shrewd?
After seven years of providing the cheapest source of funds for investors buying higher-yielding New Zealand dollars, Australian dollars and Brazil reais, the yen is appreciating as $587 billion of subprime mortgage-related losses force banks to restrict [...]

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Genetic Modeling The Stock Market

The one nice thing about Genetic Algorithmic stock market models is that they evolve with new market data. The bad thing about them is that they’re a pain in the ass to create.  My current GA model is surprisingly simple and works in conjunction with my S&P500 Volatility Timing Model.
Although its highly secret, what I [...]

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