January 9, 2010

The Crash And Burn In AIRT

I dabbled in the AAII.com screens for a bit  this year and bought AIRT on 11/17/09 after it showed up on the Grahman Enterprising screen. I figured it was worth a shot.  I sold that POS on 12/28/09 for a stinking 6.73% loss.  It wasn't a trend play but more of a position play that didn't pan out. Lesson learned, this screen is for suckers and not for me.

January 8, 2010

Current Position in SLXP

Went long SLXP yesterday (1/7/10) @ $27.72.  So far so good! Let's see where she takes me.

A Review Of My GOLD Trade

When I started formulating my simplified trading strategy, I tested it out on GOLD.  GOLD made a new all time high on high volume on 5/20, I entered on 5/21.  Needless to say, I caught a small portion of the trend before being stopped out.  The system worked nicely.

Here's the entry chart (the before):

 

And here's the exit chart (the after):

Current Position in V

January 7, 2010

NEP Looks Screwed

NEP showed up on my all-time high scan yesterday but after a closer look at its chart it scares me. Looks like the bears came out and created a hammer.  I think NEP is screwed.

What Go Taught Me About Stock Trading – Basics Are Important

A great master at the game of GO once wrote that many advanced players begin to trip themselves up when they forget the basics of ladders and nets.  Ladders and nets are just simple beginner strategies that are grounded in the basic rules of the game.  These simple game formations are much like a stock's price and volume, and its technical chart.

Going back to the basics of understanding candlesticks, prices, volume, and formations associated with an asset can make the difference between success or failure.  Basics are important and now is a perfect time to go back and study a few.

Current Position in WCRX

Would You Buy SLXP Now?

Lately every new all time high appears to be Pharma related.  Today's scan picked up Salix Pharma (SLXP) and it looks tantalizing.  Its got lots of heavyish volume on gaps higher but gaps are sometimes doomed to fill themselves, or as the candlestick chartists say, "close a window."  With two trading sessions closing higher but after opening even higher and then closing lower, makes you wonder what the Bears are up to, or if SLXP is entering lightly defended territory.

The question is, would you buy SLXP now?

 

January 6, 2010

Southwestern Energy (SWN) Popped Up!

SWN showed up on my screens cause it keeps making new highs. The question is, would you buy it now?

 

January 4, 2010

Long TEVA

I went long TEVA today.  My new trend system said to get long and hold tight.

 

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December 29, 2009

Calling ATR and A Stop Loss Macro In TraderXL Pro

 

Yeah, I still use TraderXL Pro for a bunch of my data manipulation and technical analysis stuff. I use it to download data and run macros through it, macros that I design and then use in my trading screen. After my fucked up 2009 trading year, I had to revamp my entire arsenal of macros and screens for a brighter and more profitable future, I hope.
 
Anyway, below is one of the many macros I use in TraderXL Pro for generating an automatic stop loss using and Average True Range (ATR) function. I then suck this data into my trading screen, and through the use of other magical macros. I then determine if I have to move my stop or sit on my hands.
 
Since I love you guys, here’s the macro call for the ATR function and the stop loss. First name your spreadsheet Current_Stock_Holdings.xls (you can change this later) then copy this into the AutoRun Macro box in BulksquoteXL.
 
AverageTrueRange("G1","X");Current_Stock_Holdings.xls!Module1.Stop_loss_ATR;StockChart("OHLC","J1")
 
 
I use a 20 day time period for my ATR function, as the image above shows. You’ll have substitute “X” in the callout function above for the time period you want. It can be 5, 10, 15, or 50, whatever floats your boat and your needs.
 
Once you’ve done this, then you need to copy and paste in the macro for the stop loss function below. Make sure you save it to your spreadsheet locally. As with the ATR function, you’ll have to edit the X.X that I highlight below to a multiple that you like. It can be 1.5 or 5.5 times the ATR. This will generate wider or tighter stops based on your individual preferences. The smaller the number you input, the tighter the stop you generate. Conversely the larger the number you input, the looser the stop.
 
You can use the Macro Viewer function in TraderXL to import the macro below if you don’t know how to do it manually. Copy and paste the function between the ++++++++’s into a TXT file and then import it.
 
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Sub Stop_loss_ATR()
'
' Stop_loss_ATR Macro
' Macro recorded 12/15/2009 by neuralmarkettrends
'
 
'
    Range("H1").Select
    ActiveCell.FormulaR1C1 = "Stop Loss"
    Range("H21").Select
    ActiveCell.FormulaR1C1 = "=(RC[-3]-(RC[-1]*X.X))"
    Range("H21").Select
    Selection.NumberFormat = "0.0000"
    Selection.NumberFormat = "0.000"
    Selection.NumberFormat = "0.00"
    Selection.Copy
    Range("H22:H253").Select
    ActiveSheet.Paste
    Application.CutCopyMode = False
End Sub
 
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
 
Just a side note, you might be wondering why I call the stockchart function “StockChart("OHLC","J1").” I do that so I can create a nice candlestick chart next to the downloaded data as eye candy.
 
That’s it, there you have it. Now go cause mischief!

December 24, 2009

Current Stock Positions – Dec 2009

I'm using a very simple trend strategy now.  I just buy all-time highs, use strict positioning sizes, and enter a volatility stop each and everytime.  I let the market tell me which stocks to buy (and when to get out) instead of a complicated neural net system.

My $GOLD trade was the beginning of my simplification of my trend strategy, it was a winner and I realized that perhaps I've been doing everything wrong.  It wasn't until November that I started entering positions, losing a bit of money here and there, and then finally honing my new strategy.

Positions sold or reduced

  1. $GOLD (sold 6/3/09)
  2. $JNJ (sold 12/22/09)

Current Positions

  1. $DTV
  2. $WCRX
  3. $JNJ
  4. $V

Stalking

  1. $TEVA
  2. $SWN

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