09
Jun
2008
I left work late on Friday because I got distracted running Monte Carlo simulations on our 401k accounts. I’m on a quest to refine my retirement plan of achieving Financial Critical Mass, something I heard about from Bob Brinker many years ago.
Financial Critical Mass is defined as the capital you need in your retirement [...]
06
Jun
2008
S&P500 Price Targets
Posted by Tom as Excel
I haven’t posted price targets in a while but here’s a quick one for the S&P500 based on today’s close of 1360.
Upside Targets: 1446, 1544
Downside Targets: 1348, 1250, 1152
If you ask me, I think we’re going to see another leg down in the markets but what do I know?
01
Mar
2008
S&P500: Catching Falling Knives
Posted by Tom as 401K, Excel, Members, Neural Nets, Trends
I make it a habit of “selectively” catching falling knives and yesterday was definitely such a day. I emailed my members yesterday around lunch time yesterday to tell them that my Market Timing model issued a strong BUY signal. Interestingly enough it was at the 1335 level which is right around the 1337 [...]
26
Feb
2008
YAHOO.Shortcuts.annotationSet=YAHOO.Shortcuts.annotationSet||{};YAHOO.Shortcuts.annotationSet['lw_1204023985_0']={”text”:”Monte Carlo”,”weight”:0.25,”type”:["shortcuts:/us/instance/place/destination","shortcuts:/us/instance/place/mc/town"],”category”:["PLACE"],”metaData”:{”geoArea”:”4″,”geoCountry”:”Monaco”,”geoIsoCountryCode”:”MC”,”geoLocation”:”(7.4269099, 43.738312)”,”geoName”:”Monte-Carlo”,”geoPlaceType”:”Town”,”geoState”:”Monte-Carlo”,”geoZip”:”98″}};I mentioned to my members in this past week’s Market Timing Report that I would run a Monte Carlo simulation on the S&P500 to see what are the potential upside and downside targets for the S&P500.
The Monte Carlo sim confirmed my suspcisions that the the 1310 to 1340 level was indeed an interim [...]
22
Feb
2008
The spreadsheet I’m about to share with you was the basic backend ETF trend system I developed for live trading. I used the RTQuotesXL and AnalyzerXL modules from TraderXL Pro to download the data in real time and create momentum signals on the fly.
I spent countless of hours building this [...]
