01
Mar
2008
S&P500: Catching Falling Knives
Posted by Tom as 401K, Excel, Members, Neural Nets, Trends
I make it a habit of “selectively” catching falling knives and yesterday was definitely such a day. I emailed my members yesterday around lunch time yesterday to tell them that my Market Timing model issued a strong BUY signal. Interestingly enough it was at the 1335 level which is right around the 1337 [...]
26
Feb
2008
YAHOO.Shortcuts.annotationSet=YAHOO.Shortcuts.annotationSet||{};YAHOO.Shortcuts.annotationSet['lw_1204023985_0']={”text”:”Monte Carlo”,”weight”:0.25,”type”:["shortcuts:/us/instance/place/destination","shortcuts:/us/instance/place/mc/town"],”category”:["PLACE"],”metaData”:{”geoArea”:”4″,”geoCountry”:”Monaco”,”geoIsoCountryCode”:”MC”,”geoLocation”:”(7.4269099, 43.738312)”,”geoName”:”Monte-Carlo”,”geoPlaceType”:”Town”,”geoState”:”Monte-Carlo”,”geoZip”:”98″}};I mentioned to my members in this past week’s Market Timing Report that I would run a Monte Carlo simulation on the S&P500 to see what are the potential upside and downside targets for the S&P500.
The Monte Carlo sim confirmed my suspcisions that the the 1310 to 1340 level was indeed an interim [...]
22
Feb
2008
Market Timing Report & Blog Updates
Posted by Tom as Random
Good Snowy Morning! We have about 3 inches of snow on the ground and I have a major submittal due today! Looks like it will be a late morning and a late evening as I spend time digging out my driveway!
This is just a quick note to update my readers on a few items [...]
10
Feb
2008
Changes To The Member Section
Posted by Tom as Genetic Algorithms, Members, Neural Nets, Stocks
I’m curtailing the scope of my member section for the time being because I’m extremely busy at work and my mystery illness is still knocking me out. Right now I can only send out a weekly email with my S&P500 Market Timing Report, usually on Saturdays.
What you’ll get every weekend is an email with [...]
07
Feb
2008
My market timing model issued a weak BUY signal yesterday and I choose to ignore it and not inform my members. I’m interested in any BUY signals below the 1310 level for the S&P500 and will let my members know when that happens.
