Mexican Market Manipulation Monday

What you see here is pure market manipulation by a government, namely ours. In this case, it was done by our President. On Friday May 31st he announces tariffs on goods coming from Mexico because of the border 'crisis.' Then he announces over the...

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Why Forex Trading is Frustrating

Or rather, why Forex trading is frustrating at a bucket shop like Oanda. I really don't know which is the right statement to make because I can't be arsed to do the research. I don't have the time. What I can tell you is that my initial reaction...

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Adding EURUSD Historical Volatility Predictions

I recently connected my historical volatility prediction processes to the FRED API and pulled in closing data for the Euro. I want to autogenerate currency volatility predictions just like what I do for the stock indicies. The only problem now is...

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The Less I do, The Better I do

Somewhere between 2010 and and 2011 I stopped Forex Trading and stopped stock picking. It was just too much stress and felt very futile. Reviewing the market on a daily basis was exhausting and I even abandoned market timing with my models (the...

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Forex Trading Update

I'm still trading my $100 Forex Experiment and I'm almost back to break even now after the EURUSD selloff. I lost about 15% of my account value from the last EURUSD high as I held onto my positions and sold them on the way down. In hindsight I...

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USDJPY Carry Trade EXPOSED! - Part 2

I just wanted to share with you the same USDJPY analysis using a Gaussian Regression learner instead of the Multilayer Preceptron learner I used in my first USDJPY Carry Trade Exposed post. You'll see that in this graph, the USDJPY carry trade...

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USDJPY Carry Trade EXPOSED!

Now it makes sense why the Fed is trying to keep interest rates where they are! Any yields on the 10 Yr T-note above 5% has the ability to cause the carry trade to unravel. How do I know? I ran a neural net model through USDJPY and bond data …

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